Baccarat is the king of casino games all over the world. More than 80% of the world’s betting comes from baccarat, and its popularity is beyond imagination. Other games add up to only 20%.
However, about 64% of baccarat bets come from VIP baccarat, where many high rollers like to try their luck.
Why am I telling you this because we know players are generally interested in numbers and stats! Therefore, we decided to take a closer look at this most popular casino game. This is not to teach you how to play baccarat, but to provide some facts and figures to deepen your understanding of the game.
Starting Hands and Natural Yellow Cards
We will ignore suits in baccarat, so there are 13 possible card PHL63s in the shoe: 1 (A), 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and four 0s (10, J, Q and K). Whenever a card is dealt, there is a 1/13 chance of being 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9, and a 4/13 chance of being 0 (we ignore small variations in the chance of A caused by removing the card). With 13 possibilities, there are 169 different combinations of starting hands for either the banker or the player. A hand of 25 combinations is 0 (also called baccarat); all other possible starting hands (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9) have exactly 16 combinations, that is, their possible equal.
combination probability
0 25 14.80%
1 16 9.50%
2 16 9.50%
3 16 9.50%
4 16 9.50%
5 16 9.50%
6 16 9.50%
7 16 9.50%
8 16 9.50%
9 16 9.50%
PHL63
169 100%
Also note the odds for the following starting hands:
Any natural (8 or 9) has a 16.25% chance of winning
1.79% chance of getting any natural (8 or 9) and a tie
0.90% chance of natural 8 losing to natural 9
15.35% chance of losing to Born Not
The probability that the banker and the player have no natural cards is 65.72%
100.00%
You will notice that about one-third of the chances are determined by nature (that is, one or both of the banker and player gets an 8 or 9), and about one-third of the chances of the game continuing are Not two out of three players or players 8 or 9.
No natural cards, four cards make up a hand
What if Zhuang Hexian doesn’t have a natural card? If both the B PHL63anker and Player have a 6 or 7, no more cards are dealt. Here are the probabilities of happening:
Bookmaker odds
7 7 tie 0.90%
7 6 players 0.90%
6 7 Banker 0.90%
6 6 tie 0.90%
3.59%
Since either side has a 34.28% chance of being a natural, and a 3.59% chance of a hand consisting of four cards (both sides have a 6 or a 7 with two cards each), we can conclude that there is a 37.87% chance The chance of the hand having four cards (the dealer and the player are dealt a total of four cards), so the probability of being dealt a fifth card is 62.13%.
fifth card
Assuming there are no natural cards, instead of four cards (6s or 7s), a fifth card (perhaps a sixth) must be dealt. The math gets complic PHL63ated here, so it’s best to just give a summary of the odds of winning and losing for each player’s hand:
The player has the player and the banker wins the total
7 70.63% 17.57% 11.79% 100.00%
6 53.06% 17.57% 29.37% 100.00%
5 44.23% 12.78% 42.99% 100.00%
4 39.83% 12.09% 48.08% 100.00%
3 37.50% 10.02% 52.48% 100.00%
2 35.86% 9.33% 54.81% 100.00%
1 34.92% 8.64% 56.45% 100.00%
0 34.31% 8.30% 57.39% 100.00%
Of course, these are the odds of the player beating any of the dealer’s cards per starting hand (from 7 to 0) when the fifth card is dealt. Comparing each player’s hand to each dealer’s hand is overly complicated, but it’s definitely a good start.
Interestingly, you can never completely despa PHL63ir, even with 0 against the dealer’s 7 (the worst case outside of nature), the player still has a 15.4% chance of winning, and a 7.7% chance of showing a tie, which is a 23.1% chance get away. good!
best choice
We all know that bank betting is slightly better than player betting for experienced players, but why?
In a game of baccarat that uses eight decks, there are a total of 416 cards in the shoe. There are an incredible 4,998,398,275,503,360 (nearly 1000 to the power of 5) different combinations that can make a hand of 4, 5 or 6 cards. Of those thousands of combinations, 2,292,252,566,437,888 would win the banker, 2,230,518,282,592,256 would win the player, and only 475,627,426,473,216 would win.
